Trading AJ Brown hurts the leverage of the 49ers with Deebo Samuel


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According to a report by Nicholas McGee of The 33rd Team, The 49ers received several “Tyreek Hill/Davante Adams-type offers for Deebo Samuel” prior to the draft.

You rejected them all.

I can’t say I blame them. it is good documents how capable the 49ers are Offense was in the fold with Deebo last year. Without him, they’re a much less explosive team. That being said, any leverage they might have had pre-draft in a “Davante Adams-type offer” was thrown out the window once AJ Brown signed a $100 million, 4-year extension with the Philadelphia Eagles .

Think about it. The Brown and Samuel narrative is similar from a talent perspective. They’re very different players, but they’ve both had tremendous success in their first three years in the league. Both have a pronod bowl. Brown has 24 career touchdowns. Samuel has 21. Brown has been more consistent in his first three years, but Samuel has achieved a higher level of success than Brown.

While many people believe that Samuel is the better player right now, Brown only received that honor a year ago. Brown is also a year younger and has only missed six games in his career so far. Deebo missed 11. What I’m trying to say is that Brown and Samuel should be rated relatively close together. Samuel has the edge in my opinion, but it’s close, and who knows if my tone would change if Samuel hadn’t been used as a halfback on Kyle Shanahan’s offense last year. Samuel claimed it didn’t like how he was used on the San Francisco offensive in 2021, and his value goes down without his halfback skills. If he wants to be used ONLY as a receiver, then he and Brown should be considered relatively equal.

Samuel’s relative equal just traded for a first- and the third-place finisher then signed a contract worth $25 million a year. That’s probably more money than the 49ers wanted to pay Samuel. It’s also not nearly as much as the Chiefs did for Tyreek Hill. hill is 28 years old, and yet the Chiefs have a first, a second and a fourth this year, as well as a fourth and a sixth next year. The deal for Adams wasn’t that crazy, just a first and a Second by the Raiders, but that was before Hill reset the wide receiver market at $30 million apiece annual offer.

The 49ers have reportedly said that there is a “King’s Ransom‘ to acquire Deebo Samuel. A first and a third is no ransom for a king. It’s a good haul, but it’s not even what the Niners gave up for their third overall win two years ago. Couple that with the fact that Deebo will be looking for $25 million each Deal now that Brown has ruled the market with Philadelphia, and you’ve got a tricky spot if you’re Niner’s GM John Lynch.

San Francisco has already played poorly this offseason with the Jimmy Garoppolo situation. At this point it would be beneficial to cut it. At least it would open up some cap space. However, the Niners doubled down on their off-season idiocy with how they handled it Samuel situation. If they had traded him before Brown was traded, they probably would have gotten a lot more. If they had paid him before Brown signed his renewal, they probably would have gotten him for a lot less. Instead, they have neither, and now they can’t trade Deebo for a first-round pick either. Hopefully this whole saga will come to an end soon. Odell Beckham Jr. claims he had “tea” on the Deebo situation, so it might end sooner than we thought.

If Samuel is traded, we know it won’t cost as much as the Niners would have gotten if they made the trade just 24 hours ago.

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